Exformation

Exformation

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What the Apollo Program Can Still Teach Us

My latest paper dives into the space race, the Apollo program, and the lessons for making government programs work.
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The Sinking of the Edmund Fitzgerald
The sinking of the Fitz closed the age when human judgment alone had to contend with Great Lakes. Now human intelligence is amplified by machines.
 • Will Rinehart
Will AI Agents Make The Perfect Contract?
And even if machines could negotiate the fine print, would it even be legal?
 • Will Rinehart
My Collection of Empirical Econ Papers on AI
Lots of new empirical papers on AI have been released. To help keep everything straight, I’ve been keeping an updated table of everything I’ve found.
 • Will Rinehart
Don't Just Tell Me Your p(doom), Tell Me Your Conditionals
Rather than asking, "What's your p(doom)?" we should be asking, "Under what conditions does AI risk increase or decrease?"
 • Will Rinehart
The Hidden Price Tag of California's AI Oversight Bill
The topline of my LLM-derived analysis for AB 1018: Individual firms could face $2 to $6 million in regulatory burdens over a decade.
 • Will Rinehart
Two Cheers for the AI Moratorium!
Why I’m generally supportive of an AI moratorium, even though I have reservations about its ten-year duration
 • Will Rinehart
How much might AI legislation cost in the U.S.?
A review of the cost from three AI rules + a sensitivity analysis from LLMs
 • Will Rinehart
Exformation
Exformation
Tech policy from an outsider, inside the beltway.
Recommendations
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Faster, Please!
Faster, Please!
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Blocked and Reported
Blocked and Reported
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Freddie deBoer
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Freddie deBoer
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